How Cognitive Biases Can Sabotage Decision Making: Insights for Organizations

A cognitive bias is a systematic pattern of deviation from norm or rationality in judgment. They lead to errors in judgement. These  errors in judgment derail critical thinking and distort decision-making processes.

Understanding and mitigating these biases is important for organizations to ensure their decision making process is not tainted. In this article, we will explore three prominent cognitive biases—confirmation bias, the peak-end rule, and availability bias—and examine their potential impact on decision making in the workplace. We will also highlight the importance of awareness and education in preventing the negative effects of these biases.

 

Confirmation Bias
Confirmation bias refers to the tendency to seek information that confirms pre-existing beliefs while ignoring or downplaying contradictory evidence. In the workplace, this bias can lead to flawed decision making by reinforcing existing opinions rather than considering alternative perspectives.

Here are a couple of examples:

Example 1: A manager, convinced that a particular employee is underperforming, selectively focuses on negative feedback from colleagues while disregarding positive feedback or objective performance metrics that suggest otherwise. This confirmation bias may lead to unfair evaluations or missed opportunities for development.

Example 2: During the hiring process, a recruiter may favor candidates who align with their personal beliefs or biases, selectively interpreting interview responses or application materials to validate their initial impressions. This confirmation bias can result in biased hiring decisions and hinder diversity and inclusion efforts.

 hidden traps of persuasion banner

 

The Peak-End Rule
The peak-end rule suggests that people remember only the peak and the end of an experience. The way to understand this effect is to think of ourselves as two different entities - the experiencing self and the remembering self. The remembering self does not care for the experiencing self. It recalls the entire experience based on how the experience ended. If it ends well, the remembering self will recall the entire experience as having been a good experience, even if there have been large parts of the experience were bad. On the other hand, if an experience has been largely good, but the end of the experience was unpleasant or bad, the entire experience will be recalled as a bad experience. The remembering self which is recalling the experience doesn't care about the duration of the experience. 

 

Individuals, professionals, businesses, educational institutions and just about anyone who understands this cognitive bias can leverage this to ensure that every experience ends on a good note, creating an overall positive impression of the experience. Here are some examples of how this cognitive bias can be leveraged:

 

 

Example 1: A restaurant with consistently good food but an unpleasant final interaction, such as a rude server or a long wait for the bill, may leave customers with a negative overall impression. Despite the quality of the food, the negative ending can impact customer satisfaction and hinder repeat business.

Example 2: In employee performance evaluations, managers who focus solely on the final weeks before the review period may overlook significant improvements or contributions made earlier in the cycle. This lack of awareness of the peak-end rule may result in unfair evaluations and demotivate employees.

Example 3: A dentist who puts a patient through any procedure can let the patient sit quietly for a minute or two at the end without performing any procedure on the patient. The recall of the experience then will be recalled as a good experience since the end was comfortable and painless.. Similarly in any medical procedure that is painful or uncomfortable, if the medical professionals end the experience on a painless or minimal discomfort, the recall of the experience is likely to be pleasant or at least not as uncomfortable or painful as the experience actually was.

 

Availability Bias
The availability bias occurs when individuals rely on information that is readily available in their memory or easily recalled when making judgments or decisions. This bias can lead to errors by overestimating the likelihood of events or drawing inaccurate conclusions. Here are a couple of examples:

Example 1: When launching a new product, marketing teams may heavily rely on past successful campaigns or strategies that readily come to mind. By neglecting to consider alternative approaches, they may miss opportunities for innovation or fail to adapt to changing market dynamics.

Example 2: During risk assessments, decision-makers may disproportionately focus on vivid or memorable events, such as recent high-profile security breaches. This bias may result in the neglect of less memorable, yet equally significant, risks, leading to inadequate risk mitigation strategies.

 

Summary and Conclusion
Lack of awareness of cognitive biases can sabotage good decision-making processes within organizations. Confirmation bias can reinforce existing beliefs, leading to biased evaluations and hiring decisions. The peak-end rule, when ignored, can result in missed opportunities to optimize customer and employee experiences. Availability bias can lead to judgment errors by relying on easily recalled information, disregarding alternative perspectives. To mitigate the effects of cognitive biases, organizations should educate all employees about these biases, promote awareness, and encourage critical thinking. By doing so, organizations can foster a culture of informed decision-making, minimize vulnerability to biases, and drive better outcomes.

The dictator's weapons of mass deception - persuas...
Fallacies and Persuasive Rhetorical Devices: The N...